TSX
1D %
YTD %
34,850.21
0.3%
9.3%
TSXV
1D %
YTD %
895.38
0.3%
9.8%
S&P 500
1D %
YTD %
7,357.49
0.0%
7.3%
NASDAQ
1D %
YTD %
25,358.60
0.5%
9.1%
US 10Y
1D
YTD
4.40
1 bp
23 bps
DJIA
1D %
YTD %
51,920.62
0.1%
7.3%
CA 10Y
1D
YTD
3.38
2 bps
5 bps
CAD/USD
1D %
YTD %
0.704
0.2%
3.4%

WHAT'S ON TAP

HOT OFF THE PRESS

Payroll rises, labour market slack remains

Payroll employment edged up 0.1% in April, the second straight monthly gain…

driven by strength in health care and public administration, which offset a 2% decline in computer systems design.

Meanwhile, job openings remain range bound - ticking down to ~490K for a vacancy rate of 2.7%…

… indicating there’s still plenty of slack in the labour market, with ~3 job seekers per available seat.

Jamieson could go private for $2B+

Jamieson Wellness (JWEL) ran 10% after receiving an unsolicited offer that triggered a strategic review, which could attract more bids given the growth profile

… and relatively inelastic demand within consumer discretionary, thanks to an aging population and a more health-focused younger demographic.

With those two dynamics working for it, private capital should be more than willing to look past some near-term margin compression as new geographies mature…

leaving another ~15% upside from here if a deal gets done at JWEL’s long-term average valuation, similar to recent Canadian take-privates we’ve seen.

ON OUR RADAR

Aecon (ARE) should be up today after announcing it bought the remaining 27.5% of its utilities business for $320M, or 13x LTM EBITDA - below where it trades

despite the segment’s attractive outlook, with roughly half of its LTM revenue tied to electrical end markets where demand is ramping up - as evidenced by Toromont’s $1B of new power systems orders.

GAINERS & LOSERS

BlackBerry (BB)
1D %
YTD %
14.62
19.3%
182.2%
Abaxx (ABXX)
1D %
YTD %
31.94
8.7%
37.4%
Jamieson (JWEL)
1D %
YTD %
40.18
10.4%
19.4%
Dye & Durham (DND)
1D %
YTD %
1.48
8.1%
64.5%
Spin Master (TOY)
1D %
YTD %
19.60
7.2%
2.9%
MDA Space (MDA)
1D %
YTD %
51.18
4.6%
92.1%

MDA Space (MDA) has traded down ~7% since Wednesday despite its $688M deal with the Canadian Space Agency

… and a smaller one with Mitsubishi. While clearly positives for the company, the stock seems like it’s losing momentum - giving back all of the gains from its $874M BCT acquisition and then some.

Blackberry (BB) ran nearly 20% on the back of its Q1 results, which beat big on both revenue and margins

… thanks to strong numbers out of the company’s QNX and Secure Communications segments. That prompted a bump to management guidance, which now calls for 10% Y/Y revenue growth

making its near-10x NTM sales multiple look rich if the company can’t execute on its medium term growth drivers (Alloy Kore, GEM, etc.).

EARNINGS

YESTERDAY’S EARNINGS
Company Actual Consensus
🇨🇦 Blackberry (BB) 0.04 0.03

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About Bullpen: Bullpen Finance Inc. publishes content on Canadian markets and provides paid research coverage of select Canadian issuers. Bullpen is paid in cash by covered issuers, does not accept stock or options, does not hold positions in covered securities, and does not conduct investment banking business. Bullpen and LodeRock Advisors Inc. are affiliated; LodeRock provides investor relations services to issuers, some of whom are covered by Bullpen Research. When a post discusses a covered issuer, a specific disclosure appears at the top of the post. This post is published for general information purposes. It is not personalized investment advice and is not tailored to any individual reader’s circumstances. Bullpen is not a registered investment adviser or dealer. For full disclosures, including analyst certification, jurisdictional statements, and conflict of interest policies, please see our Legal & Disclosures section on our website.

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