Andrew Peller (ADW-A) was up 40% Monday after announcing Fairfax will take it private in a $580M deal, which represents 8-9x NTM EBITDA - below its pre-pandemic multiple

… much like the Blackline and Gamehost takeouts earlier in the year, despite meaningful fundamental improvement

… which likely has more runway, with domestic wine penetration creating an organic growth lever in an otherwise challenging backdrop for alcohol.

The tough environment has likely created stress among the smaller peers, and with the balance sheet in great shape

Fairfax likely views Peller as a vehicle to capitalize on industry consolidation.

You might be interested in…

About Bullpen: Bullpen Finance Inc. publishes content on Canadian markets and provides paid research coverage of select Canadian issuers. Bullpen is paid in cash by covered issuers, does not accept stock or options, does not hold positions in covered securities, and does not conduct investment banking business. Bullpen and LodeRock Advisors Inc. are affiliated; LodeRock provides investor relations services to issuers, some of whom are covered by Bullpen Research. When a post discusses a covered issuer, a specific disclosure appears at the top of the post. This post is published for general information purposes. It is not personalized investment advice and is not tailored to any individual reader’s circumstances. Bullpen is not a registered investment adviser or dealer. For full disclosures, including analyst certification, jurisdictional statements, and conflict of interest policies, please see our Legal & Disclosures section on our website.