While there’s still a ton of slack in the labour market, a declining participation rate has cushioned the impact on unemployment to an extent

driven in part by a continued rise in monthly retirements, which are up 50% since 2012...

… and should continue, given the baby boomer retirement wave still has legs. At the macro level, that should shrink the pool of job seekers

and meaningfully shift the composition of consumer spending. Senior living names have been obvious beneficiaries, massively outpacing the index…

… without a worrisome level of multiple expansion, given strong organic growth and M&A from Sienna (SIA), Chartwell (CSH-U), and Extendicare (EXE).

CareRx (CRRX) sits downstream of that dealmaking as the largest pharmacy services provider to the industry, which should improve unit economics…

… and potentially valuation, given the stock trades just above its long-term average.

Next to prescription drugs are vitamins and supplements, where demand becomes more inelastic with age - supporting Jamieson’s (JWEL) Canadian business…

with upside from higher growth markets like the US and China, where similar demographic setups should drive fundamentals and valuation - given the three-turn discount JWEL currently trades at.

Another non-negotiable sitting downstream of the aging population theme is Savaria (SIS), whose mobility solutions (chair lifts, elevators, etc.) should see steady demand

as seniors opt to age in-place, creating the conditions for a re-rate above the company’s long-term average.

Bottom line, the theme has staying power - and a number of Canadian players are poised to print.

About Bullpen: Bullpen Finance Inc. publishes content on Canadian markets and provides paid research coverage of select Canadian issuers. Bullpen is paid in cash by covered issuers, does not accept stock or options, does not hold positions in covered securities, and does not conduct investment banking business. Bullpen and LodeRock Advisors Inc. are affiliated; LodeRock provides investor relations services to issuers, some of whom are covered by Bullpen Research. When a post discusses a covered issuer, a specific disclosure appears at the top of the post. This post is published for general information purposes. It is not personalized investment advice and is not tailored to any individual reader’s circumstances. Bullpen is not a registered investment adviser or dealer. For full disclosures, including analyst certification, jurisdictional statements, and conflict of interest policies, please see our Legal & Disclosures section on our website.

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