TSX
1D %
YTD %
28,915.89
0.6%
16.1%
TSXV
1D %
YTD %
844.22
0.3%
36.8%
S&P 500
1D %
YTD %
6,502.08
0.8%
10.8%
NASDAQ
1D %
YTD %
21,707.69
1.0%
12.6%
US 10Y
1D
YTD
4.16
6 bps
41 bps
DJIA
1D %
YTD %
45,621.29
0.8%
7.6%
CA 10Y
1D
YTD
3.35
5 bps
12 bps
CAD/USD
1D %
YTD %
0.724
0.2%
4.0%

WHAT'S ON TAP

  • Trade deficit builds, U.S. recovers

  • Labour productivity sinks

  • Apartment REITs make some moves

  • Bird jumps 13% on acquisition

HOT OFF THE PRESS

U.S. exports recover, trade deficit remains

July’s $4.9B trade deficit was the sixth straight, tracking just below estimates of $4.7B but improving slightly versus June’s ~$6B…

… thanks to a 0.7% drop in imports, driven entirely by industrial machinery - which had a big June on the back of a $2B one-time shipment for an offshore oil project.

Exports jumped 0.9% due to a continued recovery in energy products and a rebound in vehicles, more than offsetting weakness in metal products…

… which were dragged lower by a 12% drop in precious metals and 31% decline in aluminum - the fourth straight as tariffs grip the category, down 45% Y/Y.

Despite that, U.S. exports jumped 5% in July - grinding higher for the fourth straight month…

… and nullifying the second straight drop in international exports, which fell 9% - led by a 29% decline in goods sent to the UK.

With trade talks progressing slowly, expect the monthly deficits to keep stacking.

Labour productivity sinks in Q2

With the weak GDP print on Friday, it should come as no surprise that labour productivity took a nosedive - falling 1% versus expectations for a 0.2% gain.

The productivity hit more than offset falling hourly wages in a challenging job market, sending unit labour costs up 0.4% versus Q1.

Apartment REITs update their books

The apartment REITs are carving up their portfolios, with Boardwalk (BEI-U) divesting 134 units in Edmonton for $24M and scooping up 541 units in Quebec for $249M…

… and CAPREIT (CAR-U) shedding 368 units for $83M and adding 664 units for $214M across its footprint.

These deals are par for the course though, and won’t get the names moving the way rate cuts or a loosened grip on immigration could.

FUNNY BUSINESS

American Eagle’s Q2 results were the first data point since launching the Sydney Sweeney campaign and they didn’t disappoint - smoking estimates and coming with a full-year guide that sits well above the street.

With the stock nearly doubling since campaign launch, it’s clear that the impact is tangible…

❝

Let me be very clear, Sydney Sweeney sells great jeans. She is a winner and in just 6 weeks, the campaign has generated unprecedented new customer acquisition.

Craig Brommers (CMO) - AEO Q2’26 call

… let’s see how much runway it has left.

INSIDER TRANSACTIONS

Insider Company Value
Derick Czember Peyto (PEY) $466K
Tavis Carlson Peyto (PEY) $466K
Todd Burdick Peyto (PEY) $431K
Michael Wright Perpetua (PPTA) $183K
Frank Guse CIBC (CM) $1.7M
Sebastian Rubino CCL Ind. (CCL) $2.0M
Lalitha Vaidyanathan CCL Ind. (CCL) $1.1M
Sean Washchuk CCL Ind. (CCL) $1.1M
Lindsay Mackay TC Energy (TRP) $253K
Amir Ali TC Energy (TRP) $476K
Brian Young Fairfax (FFH) $7.3M
Ronald Laing Cdn. Natural (CNQ) $335K
Grant Fagerheim Whitecap (WCP) $102K

ON OUR RADAR

GAINERS & LOSERS

Bird (BDT)
1D %
YTD %
26.01
13.2%
0.2%
AbraSilver (ABRA)
1D %
YTD %
6.15
6.4%
162.8%
Anaergia (ANRG)
1D %
YTD %
3.11
8.4%
230.9%
Perpetua (PPTA)
1D %
YTD %
24.99
5.8%
62.7%
Descartes (DSG)
1D %
YTD %
146.86
7.0%
10.1%
Endeavour (EDR)
1D %
YTD %
8.50
4.5%
61.3%

Bird Construction (BDT) ran 13% on its $83M acquisition of Canada’s largest marine infra, land foundation and dredging company (FRPD). At 4.1x EV/EBITDA, management expects 7% year one accretion…

… with room for more beyond that, as Bird looks to grow FRPD’s existing business…

❝

I’d say the market currently in Canada for this kind of specialized service is higher than it’s ever been. So there’s certainly a solid opportunity to grow beyond the 10%.

Terrance McKibbon (CEO) - BDT M&A Call

… which should help the company reach its 2027 margin targets - given the acquired platform operates with better economics.

EARNINGS

YESTERDAY’S EARNINGS
Company Actual Consensus
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ VersaBank (VBNK) 0.30 0.24
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Transcontinental (TCL-A) 0.70 0.69
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Tecsys (TCS) 0.08 0.14
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Enghouse (ENGH) 0.35 0.39
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Broadcom (AVGO) 1.69 1.66

ECONOMIC DATA

YESTERDAY’S ECONOMIC RELEASES
Release Actual Consensus
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Balance of Trade -4.94B -4.75B
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Exports 61.9B -
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Imports 66.8B -
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Balance of Trade -78.3B -75.7B
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Exports 280.5B -
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Imports 358.8B -
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ADP Emp. Change 54K 65K
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Jobless Claims 237K 230K
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ISM Services PMI 52 51
TODAY’S ECONOMIC RELEASES
Release Time Consensus
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Unemployment Rate 8:30AM 7.0%
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Employment Change 8:30AM 7.5K
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Ivey PMI 10:00AM 53.1
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Non-Farm Payrolls 8:30AM 75K
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Unemployment Rate 8:30AM 4.3%

COMMODITIES

WTI Crude
1D %
YTD %
63.35
1.0%
11.8%
Gold
1D %
YTD %
3,549.73
0.3%
35.3%
Nat Gas
1D %
YTD %
3.08
0.6%
14.4%
Silver
1D %
YTD %
40.69
1.2%
40.9%
Lumber
1D %
YTD %
540.04
3.0%
1.9%
Copper
1D %
YTD %
4.50
1.0%
13.0%
Soybean
1D %
YTD %
1,013.26
0.3%
1.4%
Aluminum
1D %
YTD %
2,591.75
1.0%
1.4%
Corn
1D %
YTD %
400.60
0.7%
12.5%
Wheat
1D %
YTD %
501.64
0.5%
9.0%

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