Population growth stagnated in Q2, with just 20K added at the country level and a Q/Q decline in Quebec, Ontario, and British Columbia.

The regional declines were driven mainly by in-country dynamics, with continued interprovincial migration towards Alberta…

… while the headline number was largely due to an immigration slowdown, as the government aims to reduce permanent admissions to under 400K this year.

Non-permanent residents declined ~60K Q/Q, in-line with the government’s goal to reduce this category to 5% of the total population by 2027. At ~7% currently (~1M above target)…

… this segment should weigh on near-term population growth - benefitting per capita GDP at the expense of absolute growth and posing challenges for grocers (necessity-based same-store growth) and REITs (apartment demand) if it continues.

Disclaimer: Content on this site, including research reports, is provided by Bullpen Finance Inc. for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Bullpen Finance Inc. receives compensation from issuers for research coverage; such compensation does not influence opinions expressed. For complete disclosures, please see our Legal & Disclosures section.