TSX
1D %
YTD %
32,929.09
0.2%
3.3%
TSXV
1D %
YTD %
1,011.06
0.1%
1.8%
S&P 500
1D %
YTD %
6,716.09
0.3%
2.1%
NASDAQ
1D %
YTD %
22,479.53
0.5%
3.3%
US 10Y
1D
YTD
4.21
2 bps
4 bps
DJIA
1D %
YTD %
46,993.26
0.1%
2.9%
CA 10Y
1D
YTD
3.39
5 bps
5 bps
CAD/USD
1D %
YTD %
0.730
0.1%
0.2%

WHAT'S ON TAP

HOT OFF THE PRESS

Inflation drops, but rates likely to stay put

Headline inflation of 1.8% came in lighter than expectations, declining from January’s 2.3%

driven mainly by a roll-off of the GST holiday last year, which brought down Y/Y growth in the cost of food, alcohol, and toys…

… adding to the continued downward pressure from shelter inflation (mainly rent & mortgage interest). Combined with some bad labour and GDP numbers recently…

this CPI print could have driven a cut from the BoC, which now looks unlikely given the potential inflation from Iran.

Housing inventory falls

Housing starts were in-line with estimates for February, rising to 251K on a pickup in multi-unit activity…

which showed up in core markets like Ontario, Quebec, and BC - offsetting some Y/Y weakness in Alberta.

While still elevated, unabsorbed inventory dropped for the first time in six months

… a move that will need to persist for new unit construction to rebound.

ON OUR RADAR

Flagging GO REIT’s $440M of M&A, which comes after management highlighted Zohran Mamdani’s plans to freeze rents are impacting asset prices…

This election is creating a similar moment in time. Assets are coming to market at attractive valuations and sellers are starting to signal a clear willingness to transact.

Josh Gottlib (CEO) - GO-U Q3’25 call

… creating an opportunity for well-capitalized players to transact - surprise surprise.

GAINERS & LOSERS

Telesat (TSAT)
1D %
YTD %
58.12
19.5%
46.9%
Dynamite (GRGD)
1D %
YTD %
74.61
5.4%
9.8%
goeasy (GSY)
1D %
YTD %
38.24
13.1%
70.9%
Sagicor (SFC)
1D %
YTD %
9.95
4.0%
5.0%
RFA Financial (RFA)
1D %
YTD %
20.90
11.2%
13.0%
Cdn. National (CNR)
1D %
YTD %
139.75
3.8%
3.0%

RFA Financial (RFA) ran 11% after announcing $340M of coming asset sales, as it continues to wind down Artis’ real estate portfolio

in order to fund its mortgage lending activity, the core reason the two entities merged last year. Using the math from RFA’s merger deck…

that $340M could generate ~$65M of earnings once redeployed - ramping up to ~$280M if it can hit its five-year, $1.5B asset recycling target.

Telesat (TSAT) ran nearly 20% on a Q4 beat and military upgrade to its Lightspeed satellite constellation, which should attract another ~$1B through 2026

… en route to global commercial service in 2028, financed in part by the cash flows from a steadily declining GEO business. That’s led to litigation

… which the market is shrugging off for now, with TSAT notching new highs on the print.

INSIDER TRANSACTIONS

Insider Company Value
Craig Richardson Definity (DFY) $380K
Henry Hodaly Wheaton (WPM) $950K

EARNINGS

YESTERDAY’S EARNINGS
Company Actual Consensus
🇨🇦 Couche-Tard (ATD) 0.81 0.83
TODAY’S EARNINGS
Company Time Consensus
🇨🇦 Boyd Group (BYD) AM 0.61
🇨🇦 AutoCanada (ACQ) PM 0.43
🇨🇦 Power Corp. (POW) PM 1.44

ECONOMIC DATA

TODAY’S ECONOMIC RELEASES
Release Time Consensus
🇨🇦 Foreign Security Buys 7:30AM 4.7B
🇨🇦 BoC Rate Decision 8:45AM 2.25%
🇺🇸 PPI M/M 7:30AM 0.3%
🇺🇸 Factory Orders M/M 9:00AM 0.1%
🇺🇸 Fed Rate Decision 1:00PM 3.75%

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Disclaimer: Content on this site, including research reports, is provided by Bullpen Finance Inc. for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Bullpen Finance Inc. receives compensation from issuers for research coverage; such compensation does not influence opinions expressed. For complete disclosures, please see our Legal & Disclosures section.