“Software Jesus” Mark Leonard is diving into the impact of AI on an investor call this morning at 9AM. In January I covered the DeepSeek situation, picking Constellation as a potential winner - but it hasn’t been smooth sailing for the serial acquirer this year…

… given they haven’t been as active on M&A as they’d like to be…

… a theme that’s likely to be magnified by AI, as private equity raises capital to future-proof legacy software - pushing up the price for a finite set of targets.

Very difficult for us to compete with private equity for some of the large ones. And just generally, it’s just a difficult market out there. For us, some of the prices have really gone up dramatically.

Bernard Anzarouth (CIO) - CSU 2025 AGM

On the positive side, CSU’s hyper-niche VMS approach entrenches it deeply in customer workflows - turning the competitive threat of AI into an opportunity to streamline operations.

With the stock testing it’s long-term average valuation, the event could offer clues about where Canada’s favourite software conglomerate trades next… let’s see.

You might be interested in…

About Bullpen: Bullpen Finance Inc. publishes content on Canadian markets and provides paid research coverage of select Canadian issuers. Bullpen is paid in cash by covered issuers, does not accept stock or options, does not hold positions in covered securities, and does not conduct investment banking business. Bullpen and LodeRock Advisors Inc. are affiliated; LodeRock provides investor relations services to issuers, some of whom are covered by Bullpen Research. When a post discusses a covered issuer, a specific disclosure appears at the top of the post. This post is published for general information purposes. It is not personalized investment advice and is not tailored to any individual reader’s circumstances. Bullpen is not a registered investment adviser or dealer. For full disclosures, including analyst certification, jurisdictional statements, and conflict of interest policies, please see our Legal & Disclosures section on our website.