Disclosure: Bullpen receives compensation from Altius Minerals for research coverage.
Altius Minerals (ALS) reported a strong Q2, with attributable royalty revenue increasing 137% Y/Y to a record $30M…

… which flowed through to profitability, with adjusted EBITDA margins expanding 390 bps sequentially and 1,820 bps Y/Y to ~78% - a trend we expect will continue…

… as contributions from mine expansions, new starts, a healthy renewable energy construction pipeline, and future capital deployment fuel royalty momentum.

In minerals, lithium is the primary near-term growth driver - with management revising estimates upwards on indicated project expansions, restarts, and new builds…

… which should be balanced by renewable energy, with the company’s 50% stake in GBR set to benefit from the delivery of 2.3 GW under construction and strong deal flow.

With $500M of available liquidity after a recent $182M equity raise and $125M increase to the credit facility, Altius has ample funding capacity for new deals…

… in both renewable energy and minerals, with management highlighting attractive opportunities in both - which represent upside to our estimates in the full report:




