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WHAT'S ON TAP
Trump turns back to Canada, U.S. β Canada rail traffic nears pandemic lows
Which companies are set to benefit from a mining boom?
New home prices remain flat, local trends continue
Despite hourly wage inflation, Canadians are working more
Trump pumps his meme coin by offering White House tours (yes, seriously)
Another one bites the dust, as UPS takes out Andlauer at a ~30% premium
TRADE WAR MONITOR
Weβre starting to see the impact of U.S. tariffs on the revenue side, as customs duties just hit a monthly record.

Thereβs been a lot of he said, she said on progress with China so weβre turning our attention back to Canada - with Trump making his usual threats in the press yesterday but signalling talks were going well.
Recently released rail data looks anything but, as February traffic from the U.S. into Canada nears pandemic lows.

HOT OFF THE PRESS
A mining boom is coming, who benefits?
Liberal or Conservative, Canadaβs mining industry should get more support over the next four years than it had in the last four.
Weβve started digging into which non-mining companies are poised to benefit from increased mineral production. Check it out!
If the above link doesnβt work, try this: https://www.bullpen.finance/content/100
New home prices flat, with puts & takes
As theyβve been for the past year, new home prices were flat in Marchβ¦

β¦ with core markets weighing down continued price appreciation in Quebec, the prairies, and the atlantic provinces.

While rate cuts havenβt helped get the market moving, a government-led boost in the supply side of the equation (direct or indirect) could get things unstuck soon.
Despite wage hike, Canadians work more
We got payroll data for February yesterday, with a 5.4% Y/Y lift in weekly earnings. With just 3.8% Y/Y wage growth, Canadians are clocking in more hours.
Payroll employment fell roughly 50K M/M, led by education and food services.

While the drop in education offset gains from January, food services employment continued its slide, which could persist if food inflation stays hot.

FUNNY BUSINESS
The leader of the free world is pumping his meme coin again, announcing the top 220 holders will get to have dinner with him, while the top 25 get a VIP reception and White House tourβ¦

β¦ turns out you can pay for friends. Letβs hope other leaders donβt get any ideas.

ON OUR RADAR
GAINERS & LOSERS
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It was a great day for transportation names, who have faced headwind after headwind lately.
Canadian trucking was up huge after UPS announced it was buying Andlauer Healthcare Group (AND) for $55/sh in an all-cash, $2.2B deal. While we donβt love another foreign takeout, we can appreciate the ~7% boost it gave to Mullen Group (MTL) and TFI International (TFII). Plus, now Michael Andlauer can turn his attention towards his Ottawa Senators ownershipβ¦ they need it.

Cargojet (CJT) was up big too after reporting strong numbers, with 8% Y/Y revenue growth and $1.62 of EPS, crushing the streetβs $1.08. The company bought back 273K shares in Q1 ($32M), and notched record on-time arrival performance of 99.1%.
EARNINGS
YESTERDAYβS EARNINGS
| Company | Actual | Consensus |
|---|---|---|
| π¨π¦ Teck (TECK) | 0.60 | 0.34 |
| π¨π¦ FirstService (FSV) | 0.92 | 0.83 |
| π¨π¦ Celestica (CLS) | 1.20 | 1.12 |
| π¨π¦ Agnico Eagle (AEM) | 1.53 | 1.38 |
| π¨π¦ Winpak (WPK) | 0.56 | 0.60 |
| πΊπΈ Alphabet (GOOG) | 2.81 | 2.03 |
| πΊπΈ P&G (PG) | 1.54 | 1.58 |
| πΊπΈ T-Mobile (TMUS) | 2.58 | 2.52 |
| πΊπΈ Merck (MRK) | 2.22 | 2.20 |
| πΊπΈ PepsiCo (PEP) | 1.48 | 1.65 |
| πΊπΈ Union Pacific (UNP) | 2.70 | 2.79 |
| πΊπΈ Gilead (GILD) | 1.81 | 1.76 |
| πΊπΈ Intel (INTC) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| πΊπΈ NASDAQ (NDAQ) | 0.79 | 0.74 |
TODAYβS EARNINGS
| Company | Time | Consensus |
|---|---|---|
| πΊπΈ AbbVie (ABBV) | AM | 2.57 |
| πΊπΈ HCA (HCA) | AM | 5.80 |
| πΊπΈ Colgate-Palmolive (CL) | AM | 0.91 |
| πΊπΈ Schlumberger (SLB) | AM | 0.74 |
| πΊπΈ Phillips 66 (PSX) | AM | 1.01 |
ECONOMIC DATA
YESTERDAYβS ECONOMIC RELEASES
| Release | Actual | Consensus |
|---|---|---|
| π¨π¦ Weekly Earnings Y/Y | 5.4% | - |
| πΊπΈ Durable Goods M/M | 9.2% | 2.0% |
| πΊπΈ Jobless Claims | 222K | 222K |
| πΊπΈ Continuing Claims | 1,841K | 1,880K |
| πΊπΈ Existing Home Sales | 4.02M | 4.13M |
| πΊπΈ Home Sales M/M | -5.9% | -3.0% |
TODAYβS ECONOMIC RELEASES
| Release | Time | Consensus |
|---|---|---|
| π¨π¦ Retail Sales M/M | 7:30AM | -0.4% |
| π¨π¦ Mftg. Sales M/M | 7:30AM | 0.0% |
| πΊπΈ Consumer Sentiment | 9:00AM | 50.8 |
COMMODITIES
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