TSX
1D %
YTD %
26,857.11
0.6%
7.9%
TSXV
1D %
YTD %
733.37
1.3%
18.8%
S&P 500
1D %
YTD %
6,198.01
0.1%
5.6%
NASDAQ
1D %
YTD %
20,202.89
0.8%
4.8%
US 10Y
1D
YTD
4.24
2 bps
33 bps
DJIA
1D %
YTD %
44,494.94
0.9%
5.0%
CA 10Y
1D
YTD
3.27
3 bps
5 bps
CAD/USD
1D %
YTD %
0.733
0.3%
5.4%

WHAT'S ON TAP

  • DST dropped, trade talks resume

  • Bombardier signs $2B deal

  • Canadian lumber names shed capacity

  • Axe body spray or Trump fragrance?

HOT OFF THE PRESS

DST gets dropped, trade talks resume

With the Digital Services Tax shelved for now, trade talks have restarted in hopes of inking a new deal by July 21st. In the meantime, LNG Canada’s first shipment left for Asia on Monday as Canada pushes to diversify its trading relationships.

Bombardier boosts backlog with $2B order

After the close Monday Bombardier (BBD) added a meaningful 50 aircraft order to its 2027 backlog, with a purchase option for an additional 70 units.

Combined with a full-suite service agreement, the deal represents just under $2B at the low end and more than $4B should the client fully exercise the purchase options.

It also reiterates the company’s focus on services and defense-led growth…

If you think through the strategy we’re deploying and where the vast majority of our growth is coming from over the coming years, it’s in our services and defense businesses, which provide us with our highest EBITDA margins.

Eric Martel (CEO) - BBD Q1’25 earnings call

… which should drive continued margin expansion across BBD’s global footprint.

With shares trading more than 50% higher than liberation day lows, the market is counting on it - continued execution will be required to keep its premium.

Canadian lumber names shed capacity

Western Forest Products (WEF) announced the loss of over 50M board feet of annual lumber capacity after a fire totalled one of its sawmills in Washington.

The news follows a 350M annual board feet loss due to the closure of two U.S. sawmills by Canfor (CFP), who says the decision was driven by weak market conditions and financial losses at the facilities.

The lost capacity represents just under 1% of North American consumption, which continues to soften on the back of weaker housing demand

… but if capacity keeps getting taken out of the market lumber could find its footing and so could Canadian lumber stocks, which trade in-line with historical averages.

FUNNY BUSINESS

Surely the presidency will go down as Trump’s greatest business venture…

I imagine it smells like the inside of a high school locker room after unloading the clip on a few cans of Axe body spray… but hey, there’s probably a market for it.

ON OUR RADAR

GAINERS & LOSERS

Patriot (PMET)
1D %
YTD %
2.44
6.6%
30.3%
Healwell (AIDX)
1D %
YTD %
1.30
5.8%
38.4%
Lundin (LUG)
1D %
YTD %
71.90
6.5%
134.5%
Roots (ROOT)
1D %
YTD %
2.90
4.3%
34.9%
Hammond (HPS-A)
1D %
YTD %
125.43
4.5%
2.1%
Baytex (BTE)
1D %
YTD %
2.44
3.2%
34.1%

Flagging Hammond Power (HPS-A), which is up more than 50% from this year’s lows that were fuelled by the unwind of the data center trade and tariffs on steel & aluminum.

ECONOMIC DATA

YESTERDAY’S ECONOMIC RELEASES
Release Actual Consensus
🇺🇸 S&P Mftg. PMI 52.9 52.0
🇺🇸 ISM Mftg. PMI 49.0 48.8
🇺🇸 JOLTs Openings 7.8M 7.3M
🇺🇸 Construction Spend M/M -0.3% -0.2%
🇺🇸 ISM Mftg. Prices 69.7 69.0
🇺🇸 Economic Optimism 48.6 50.1
TODAY’S ECONOMIC RELEASES
Release Time Consensus
🇨🇦 S&P Mftg. PMI 9:30AM -
🇺🇸 ADP Employment Chg. 8:15AM 95K

COMMODITIES

WTI Crude
1D %
YTD %
65.67
0.9%
8.5%
Gold
1D %
YTD %
3,338.07
1.1%
27.2%
Nat Gas
1D %
YTD %
3.41
1.4%
5.3%
Silver
1D %
YTD %
36.01
0.2%
24.7%
Lumber
1D %
YTD %
619.47
1.1%
12.5%
Copper
1D %
YTD %
5.04
0.3%
26.7%
Soybean
1D %
YTD %
1,024.69
0.0%
2.5%
Aluminum
1D %
YTD %
2,602.10
0.0%
1.8%
Corn
1D %
YTD %
419.43
0.3%
8.4%
Wheat
1D %
YTD %
537.39
1.6%
2.6%

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