TSX
1D %
YTD %
26,342.29
0.1%
5.8%
TSXV
1D %
YTD %
718.27
0.2%
16.3%
S&P 500
1D %
YTD %
5,939.30
0.5%
1.2%
NASDAQ
1D %
YTD %
19,298.45
0.8%
0.1%
US 10Y
1D
YTD
4.39
3 bps
18 bps
DJIA
1D %
YTD %
42,319.74
0.3%
0.2%
CA 10Y
1D
YTD
3.26
2 bps
3 bps
CAD/USD
1D %
YTD %
0.731
0.0%
5.1%

WHAT'S ON TAP

  • Trade deficit hits record $7B

  • Vermilion sheds second non-core package

  • Pet Valu gets the monkey off its back

  • Trump vs. Musk heats up

  • Transat does $400M debt magic trick

HOT OFF THE PRESS

Trade deficit hits record-breaking $7B

Well, we got history-making trade data yesterday as tariffs stalled out the flow of goods between Canada and the U.S., driving a $7B deficit - the largest on record.

If you’re looking to get under the hood of the headline number, we published a bite that’s light on words and heavy on charts. Check it out!

If you want the takeaway, not the details, here it is in one chart:

Vermilion sheds second non-core asset

Vermilion (VET) was up 4% after divesting its U.S. footprint for $120M. The transaction follows the sale of its Manitoba and Saskatchewan assets for $415M two weeks prior, as the company focuses on its core Western Canada/Europe footprint.

Combined, the two sales shed 16K barrels per day of production and 40M barrels of proven reserves in an effort to reduce leverage, a major focus of late in the Canadian oil patch.

Pet Valu gets the monkey off its back

On Wednesday, Pet Valu (PET) announced a $576M secondary transaction to clear the rest of Roark Capital’s position. The franchise-focused PE firm took PET private in 2009, spat it back out in 2021, and wound down its stake in tranches.

With the overhang on the stock from a large seller now gone and a more diversified shareholder base, PET’s multiple could continue to expand - reversing at least part of the contraction that has weighed on performance since it re-listed.

FUNNY BUSINESS

On Wednesday, we suggested the gloves could come off between the most powerful man and the richest man in America… it didn’t take long.

The easiest way to save money in our Budget, Billions and Billions of Dollars, is to terminate Elon’s Governmental Subsidies and Contracts. I was always surprised that Biden didn’t do it!

Donald Trump - Truth Social

Time to drop the really big bomb: Donald Trump is in the Epstein files. That is the real reason they have not been made public. Have a nice day, DJT!

Elon Musk - X

Next time you’re triple-checking an email to make sure it’s mistake-free and reads well, remember that we’re all living in a deeply unserious world… it’s all the WWE.

INSIDER TRANSACTIONS

Insider Company Value
Jean Robitaille Agnico (AEM) $2.0M
Ammar Al-Joundi Agnico (AEM) $3.4M
Scott Thon Aecon (ARE) $202K
Duncan Card OR Royalties (OR) $368K
Chris Goodridge VerticalScope (FORA) $100K
Ana Cabral Sigma Lithium (SGML) $4.8M
Kenneth Dedeluk Comp. Modelling (CMG) $141K
Mehmet Yilmaz Eldorado (ELD) $2.8M
Stephen Smith EQB Inc. (EQB) $3.2M
Giuseppe Tassone ATS Corp. (ATS) $218K
John Hooks PHX Energy (PHX) $811K
Norman MacDonald G Mining (GMIN) $1.1M

ON OUR RADAR

GAINERS & LOSERS

Transat (TRZ)
1D %
YTD %
1.92
16.4%
1.5%
Telus Int. (TIXT)
1D %
YTD %
3.63
13.2%
35.8%
Fortuna (FVI)
1D %
YTD %
10.11
9.7%
63.9%
Descartes (DSG)
1D %
YTD %
138.95
12.1%
15.0%
Ivanhoe (IVN)
1D %
YTD %
11.50
8.2%
32.6%
G Mining (GMIN)
1D %
YTD %
20.13
5.7%
86.4%

Transat (TRZ) jumped 16% on the back of what’s being called a “favourable debt restructuring”. What that translates to in reality is nearly $400M of debt that the Federal government is making disappear… well isn’t that nice.

EARNINGS

YESTERDAY’S EARNINGS
Company Actual Consensus
🇨🇦 Saputo (SAP) 0.30 0.34
🇨🇦 Enghouse (ENGH) 0.26 0.37
🇨🇦 Xtract One (XTRA) -2.3M -1.1M
🇺🇸 Broadcom (AVGO) 1.58 1.57

ECONOMIC DATA

YESTERDAY’S ECONOMIC RELEASES
Release Actual Consensus
🇨🇦 Trade Balance -$7.1B -$1.5B
🇨🇦 Exports $60.4B -
🇨🇦 Imports $67.6B -
🇨🇦 Ivey PMI 48.9 48.3
🇺🇸 Trade Balance $62B -$94B
🇺🇸 Jobless Claims 247K 235K
🇺🇸 Continuing Claims 1,904K 1,910K
🇺🇸 Nonfarm Productivity Q/Q -1.5% -0.8%
🇺🇸 Labour Costs Q/Q 6.6% 5.7%
TODAY’S ECONOMIC RELEASES
Release Time Consensus
🇨🇦 Unemployment 8:30AM 7.0%
🇨🇦 Employment Change 8:30AM -15K
🇨🇦 FT Change 8:30AM -
🇨🇦 PT Change 8:30AM -
🇨🇦 Participation Rate 8:30AM -
🇨🇦 Hourly Wages Y/Y 8:30AM -
🇺🇸 Non Farm Payrolls 8:30AM 130K
🇺🇸 Unemployment 8:30AM 4.2%
🇺🇸 Hourly Wage Y/Y 8:30AM 3.7%
🇺🇸 Participation Rate 8:30AM -

COMMODITIES

WTI Crude
1D %
YTD %
63.35
0.8%
11.8%
Gold
1D %
YTD %
3,356.57
0.5%
27.9%
Nat Gas
1D %
YTD %
3.67
1.2%
2.0%
Silver
1D %
YTD %
35.69
3.5%
23.6%
Lumber
1D %
YTD %
606.57
2.5%
10.2%
Copper
1D %
YTD %
4.90
0.5%
23.0%
Soybean
1D %
YTD %
1,050.26
0.5%
5.1%
Aluminum
1D %
YTD %
2,479.20
0.4%
3.0%
Corn
1D %
YTD %
437.82
0.2%
4.4%
Wheat
1D %
YTD %
544.99
0.3%
1.2%

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Disclaimer: Bullpen Finance Inc. is not a registered investment advisor. The information provided is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. See our terms of service for more information.