TSX
1D %
YTD %
32,378.64
0.8%
1.8%
TSXV
1D %
YTD %
1,038.78
0.3%
3.6%
S&P 500
1D %
YTD %
6,921.46
0.0%
0.6%
NASDAQ
1D %
YTD %
23,480.02
0.4%
0.0%
US 10Y
1D
YTD
4.19
3 bps
2 bps
DJIA
1D %
YTD %
49,266.11
0.6%
2.4%
CA 10Y
1D
YTD
3.42
2 bps
5 bps
CAD/USD
1D %
YTD %
0.721
0.1%
1.0%

WHAT'S ON TAP

  • Non-U.S. exports hit new high

  • Ivey PMI tops estimates

  • Telus hires advisors for health unit

  • Zedcor has an Amazon problem

  • Defense names run on budget hopes

HOT OFF THE PRESS

Record non-U.S. trade

October’s ~$580M trade deficit came in better than expectations of $1.4B, reversing from last month’s print

… driven by a >3% gain in imports that was broad-based, but led by electronics…

computers and computer peripherals in particular, which jumped 32% M/M on increased shipments from Ireland.

Exports increased to a lesser degree, adding ~2% M/M…

… driven almost entirely by precious metals, which posted a second sequential gain of more than 25% - leading to a fresh record in export value…

and contributing to record non-U.S. exports, which now account for a third of total activity versus a quarter through 2024.

Ivey PMI tops estimates

The Ivey PMI came in better than expected at 51.9, indicating purchasing activity expanded relative to last month

likely driven by inventory replenishing, with balances contracting meaningfully despite a decline in deliveries.

The employment index improved too, more than offsetting November’s pullback - a signal that manufacturing employment could be up in today’s jobs print.

ON OUR RADAR

Flagging Telus (T), who has engaged TD and Jefferies as advisors in the monetization strategy of its health unit, which continues to grow the top-line while leaning out its cost structure.

… so the setup to sell looks less opportunistic than its digital unit monetization in 2021. Despite that, private capital will line up at the right price - which should land well above where Telus currently trades.

With management looking for ~$2B…

We would bring in a partner that would easily, in this scenario, bring in $1-3 billion if that was the case.

Doug French (CFO) - Nov’25 Desjardins Conference

a deal could be within GTCR’s wheelhouse, given they just took dentalcorp private at $2.2B and helped fund Telus’ Workplace Options deal in May.

GAINERS & LOSERS

Zedcor (ZDC)
1D %
YTD %
5.36
12.1%
14.9%
Celestica (CLS)
1D %
YTD %
399.90
5.6%
1.5%
Kits Eyecare (KITS)
1D %
YTD %
19.22
9.8%
4.9%
Happy Belly (HBFG)
1D %
YTD %
2.12
4.1%
4.1%
Kraken (PNG)
1D %
YTD %
7.96
8.2%
24.4%
Boralex (BLX)
1D %
YTD %
25.62
3.7%
1.1%

Zedcor (ZDC) has had a volatile week, shedding ~25% before yesterday’s 12% recovery. It stems from news that Amazon is entering the market via Ring with the launch of a $5,000 surveillance trailer. It’s a lower cost, less complete solution…

… but when you trade at 20x forward EBITDA, any negative news can take some air out of the multiple. While the business is performing well today, Amazon might represent a longer term threat analogous to that of SpaceX to MDA Space.

If the value isn’t in the security towers themselves, but in the handling of what they pick up (routing to police/security/company) - the network sitting on top of the hardware would be where the moat (and the premium multiple) should be.

Kraken Robotics (PNG) and other Canadian defense names have started 2026 strong given the geopolitical backdrop and Trump’s call for a higher defense budget

… let’s see if we get a repeat of 2025 for the theme.

INSIDER TRANSACTIONS

Insider Company Value
John Burzynski Aya Gold & Silver (AYA) $308K
Hratch Panossian CIBC (CM) $1.6M

EARNINGS

YESTERDAY’S EARNINGS
Company Actual Consensus
🇨🇦 Aritzia (ATZ) 1.10 0.89

ECONOMIC DATA

YESTERDAY’S ECONOMIC RELEASES
Release Actual Consensus
🇨🇦 Trade Balance -0.6B -1.4B
🇺🇸 Trade Balance -29.4B -58.9B
🇺🇸 Jobless Claims 208K 210K
TODAY’S ECONOMIC RELEASES
Release Time Consensus
🇨🇦 Unemployment Rate 8:30AM 6.6%
🇨🇦 Employment Change 8:30AM -5K
🇺🇸 Housing Starts 8:30AM 1.33M
🇺🇸 Non Farm Payrolls 8:30AM 60K
🇺🇸 Unemployment Rate 8:30AM 4.5%

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About Bullpen: Bullpen Finance Inc. publishes content on Canadian markets and provides paid research coverage of select Canadian issuers. Bullpen is paid in cash by covered issuers, does not accept stock or options, does not hold positions in covered securities, and does not conduct investment banking business. Bullpen and LodeRock Advisors Inc. are affiliated; LodeRock provides investor relations services to issuers, some of whom are covered by Bullpen Research. When a post discusses a covered issuer, a specific disclosure appears at the top of the post. This post is published for general information purposes. It is not personalized investment advice and is not tailored to any individual reader’s circumstances. Bullpen is not a registered investment adviser or dealer. For full disclosures, including analyst certification, jurisdictional statements, and conflict of interest policies, please see our Legal & Disclosures section on our website.

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