TSX
1D %
YTD %
27,364.43
0.2%
9.9%
TSXV
1D %
YTD %
806.38
0.5%
30.6%
S&P 500
1D %
YTD %
6,309.62
0.1%
7.5%
NASDAQ
1D %
YTD %
20,892.69
0.4%
8.4%
US 10Y
1D
YTD
4.35
3 bps
22 bps
DJIA
1D %
YTD %
44,502.44
0.4%
5.0%
CA 10Y
1D
YTD
3.50
2 bps
28 bps
CAD/USD
1D %
YTD %
0.735
0.6%
5.7%

WHAT'S ON TAP

  • PPI hot, input costs could reverse

  • Chartwell’s latest $430M deal

  • Enbridge to build $900M solar farm

  • Meme stocks are back

  • PMET has world’s #1 caesium deposit

  • CNR lowers guidance on tariffs

HOT OFF THE PRESS

PPI comes in hot, input costs could reverse

Industrial product prices rose 0.4% in June thanks to higher metals prices, topping estimates for a 0.1% gain and rebounding after two straight M/M declines.

Input costs were higher too, rising 2.7% versus expectations for a 0.1% decline - which would have been the fourth straight had it materialized. As highlighted previously, the jump was led by a recovery in crude oil (+8%)…

… which accounted for most of the gain (+0.8% M/M excluding energy products). With oil prices returning below $70/barrel in July, the category should weigh on input costs in the next print.

Chartwell is back with a $430M deal

Chartwell Retirement (CSH) is back with a $430M deal for just over 1K suites, this time across Ontario - adding more than 8% to bed count when combined with its $290M, ~1K suite expansion in Quebec announced just over a week ago.

The deal includes excess land at one of the sites that acts as a lever for organic development (up to 140 suites). It’s financed partly by $230M of assumed debt (4.5%, 20-year term) with the remainder handled by already planned CMHC financings.

With $450M of available liquidity, favourable age demographics, and a management team with their foot on the gas - it’s unlikely this deal will be their last this year.

We hope to continue this momentum throughout 2025, with more exciting strategic acquisitions being evaluated and at various stages of negotiation.

Jonathan Boulakia (CIO) - CSH Q1’25 call

Enbridge to build 600 MW solar farm for Meta

Enbridge is continuing to invest in solar power, moving forward with a $900M, 600 MW project in Texas set to be operational in 2027. All of the power will be contracted out to Meta…

… in yet another example that big tech is hungry for power (see Brookfield piece if you missed it). While the renewables segment accounts for less than 5% of EBITDA today…

… it represents nearly 15% of the company’s $50B development pipeline, as Enbridge transitions its business alongside global energy markets.

FUNNY BUSINESS

Meme stocks are back, with crowded shorts getting blown up one after another - Kohl’s being the latest, jumping as high as 70% yesterday before giving some back.

It’s unlikely to be the last big move, as volatility begets volatility - institutional money is going to be scrubbing their short books looking for potential land mines…

INSIDER TRANSACTIONS

Insider Company Value
Jennifer Wong Aritzia (ATZ) $4.5M
Todd Ingledew Aritzia (ATZ) $1.0M
Karen Kwan Aritzia (ATZ) $225K
Chris Vollmershausen Agnico (AEM) $475K
Jorge Durant Fortuna (FVI) $1.5M
Joel Holliday Barrick (ABX) $304K

Flagging the insider selling at Aritzia (ATZ), which has hit over $55M YTD with these latest transactions.

ON OUR RADAR

GAINERS & LOSERS

Discovery (DSV)
1D %
YTD %
3.62
10.7%
409.9%
Aduro (ACT)
1D %
YTD %
14.67
6.5%
62.6%
Patriot (PMET)
1D %
YTD %
4.57
9.3%
30.6%
NanoXplore (GRA)
1D %
YTD %
2.81
4.8%
9.3%
EcoSynthetix (ECO)
1D %
YTD %
4.36
7.4%
0.5%
Kraken (PNG)
1D %
YTD %
3.64
4.7%
32.4%

Patriot Battery Metals (PMET) was up 9%, extending its run after a 24% gain on Monday when the company announced what could be the world’s largest caesium deposit - an extremely rare metal that’s used in applications like medical imaging and solar panels.

EARNINGS

YESTERDAY’S EARNINGS
Company Actual Consensus
🇨🇦 Pulse Seismic (PSD) 0.19 -
🇨🇦 Cdn. National (CNR) 1.87 1.87
🇺🇸 Coca-Cola (KO) 0.87 0.84
🇺🇸 Philip Morris (PM) 1.91 1.86
🇺🇸 Raytheon (RTX) 1.56 1.43
🇺🇸 Lockheed Martin (LMT) 7.29 6.47
🇺🇸 DR Horton (DHI) 3.36 2.90

Canadian National Railway (CNR) reported a small miss on the top line and in-line profit, but it’s likely the stock is going to trade down at the open. Tariffs are weighing on volume and the EPS guide, which moves down to 5-9% Y/Y growth from 10-15% previously.

TODAY’S EARNINGS
Company Time Consensus
🇨🇦 Rogers (RCI-B) AM 1.10
🇨🇦 Headwater (HWX) PM 0.17
🇨🇦 First Quantum (FM) PM -0.05
🇨🇦 Whitecap (WCP) PM 667M
🇨🇦 West Fraser (WFG) PM 0.17
🇺🇸 Alphabet (GOOG) PM 2.20
🇺🇸 Tesla (TSLA) PM 0.40
🇺🇸 IBM (IBM) PM 2.65
🇺🇸 AT&T (T) AM 0.53
🇺🇸 Chipotle (CMG) PM 0.33

ECONOMIC DATA

YESTERDAY’S ECONOMIC RELEASES
Release Actual Consensus
🇺🇸 Richmond Mftg. Index -20 -3
TODAY’S ECONOMIC RELEASES
Release Time Consensus
🇨🇦 New Home Price Index 8:30AM 0.0%
🇺🇸 Existing Home Sales 10:00AM 4.0M

COMMODITIES

WTI Crude
1D %
YTD %
65.48
0.7%
8.8%
Gold
1D %
YTD %
3,431.59
1.0%
30.8%
Nat Gas
1D %
YTD %
3.26
2.0%
9.5%
Silver
1D %
YTD %
39.30
1.0%
36.1%
Lumber
1D %
YTD %
671.52
0.5%
22.0%
Copper
1D %
YTD %
5.70
1.9%
43.3%
Soybean
1D %
YTD %
1,010.88
0.4%
1.1%
Aluminum
1D %
YTD %
2,657.25
0.5%
3.9%
Corn
1D %
YTD %
399.09
1.2%
12.9%
Wheat
1D %
YTD %
549.64
1.4%
0.3%

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