TSX
1D %
YTD %
33,594.98
0.6%
5.4%
TSXV
1D %
YTD %
1,017.36
2.1%
2.5%
S&P 500
1D %
YTD %
6,861.89
0.3%
0.1%
NASDAQ
1D %
YTD %
22,682.73
0.3%
2.4%
US 10Y
1D
YTD
4.08
1 bp
10 bps
DJIA
1D %
YTD %
49,395.16
0.5%
2.1%
CA 10Y
1D
YTD
3.23
0 bps
20 bps
CAD/USD
1D %
YTD %
0.731
0.0%
0.2%

WHAT'S ON TAP

HOT OFF THE PRESS

New home prices drop

New home prices fell more than expected in January, shedding 0.4% versus estimates for a 0.1% gain…

… and building on last month’s 0.2% decline, driven by growing price pressure in Ontario, the Prairies, and BC alongside cooling momentum in Quebec.

With unsold inventory building up, a sustained reversal higher isn’t likely in the near-term.

Trade deficit narrows

December’s $1.3B trade deficit was lighter than expected, improving over last month

on the back of a 3% gain in exports, led by an 18% increase in metal products and a 26% rise in aircraft deliveries…

business jets specifically, which drove a record print and make the timing of Trump’s 50% tariff threat (resolving)… interesting.

Imports increased to a lesser degree (1%), with a 12% bump in vehicle shipments

… carrying results, driven by non-U.S. activity (Mexico & the Netherlands).

ON OUR RADAR

Flagging the third Conservative MP floor crossing, which pushes Carney closer to a majority that would remove friction from the implementation of initiatives like Build Canada Homes, the Alto HSR project, and a new Defence Industrial Strategy.

While his Davos speech sparked speculation that an election could be called, there may be no need - with a by-election in Terrebonne this year…

… that could seal the deal and break the minority government logjam.

GAINERS & LOSERS

Chorus (CHR)
1D %
YTD %
23.66
7.5%
10.3%
Intermap (IMP)
1D %
YTD %
1.74
6.0%
6.0%
Firan (FTG)
1D %
YTD %
17.66
6.7%
52.9%
Stingray (RAY)
1D %
YTD %
15.81
5.6%
9.5%
Sprott (SII)
1D %
YTD %
179.47
5.7%
33.5%
Propel (PRL)
1D %
YTD %
22.11
3.9%
11.4%

Firan Technology (FTG) added another 7% on its Q4 print, which beat on the top line and missed on EPS. The trajectory remains up and to the right, with management highlighting strong demand…

… across its business jet, aerospace, and defence markets - driving steady margin expansion and backlog growth.

There’s no question about the attractiveness of FTG’s fundamental setup, but with the stock trading above 12x NTM EBITDA (double the long-term average)…

the next leg higher should be a slow grind relative to the three-year, >500% run in the stock.

INSIDER TRANSACTIONS

Insider Company Value
Trevor Ebl TC Energy (TRP) $343K
Eric Jobin iA Financial (IAG) $152K
Denis Ricard iA Financial (IAG) $912K

EARNINGS

YESTERDAY’S EARNINGS
Company Actual Consensus
🇨🇦 Canadian Tire (CTC) 4.47 3.80
🇨🇦 MTY Food (MTY) 1.88 0.83
🇨🇦 Altus Group (AIF) 0.67 0.58
🇨🇦 Cenovus (CVE) 0.49 0.38
🇨🇦 Teck Resources (TECK) 1.37 0.96
🇨🇦 Sprott (SII) 1.40 0.99
🇨🇦 Superior (SPB) 0.27 0.25
🇨🇦 Lundin (LUN) 0.42 0.30
🇨🇦 Eldorado (ELD) 0.63 0.60
TODAY’S EARNINGS
Company Time Consensus
🇨🇦 Hudbay (HBM) AM 0.39
🇨🇦 Onex (ONEX) AM -
🇨🇦 Secure Waste (SES) AM 0.24

ECONOMIC DATA

YESTERDAY’S ECONOMIC RELEASES
Release Actual Consensus
🇨🇦 Trade Balance -1.3B -2.1B
🇨🇦 New Home Price M/M 0.4% 0.1%
🇺🇸 Trade Balance -70B -56B
TODAY’S ECONOMIC RELEASES
Release Time Consensus
🇨🇦 Retail Sales M/M 8:30AM -0.5%
🇨🇦 PPI M/M 8:30AM 0.2%
🇨🇦 Raw Materials M/M 8:30AM 0.7%

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