TSX
1D %
YTD %
33,594.98
0.6%
5.4%
TSXV
1D %
YTD %
1,017.36
2.1%
2.5%
S&P 500
1D %
YTD %
6,861.89
0.3%
0.1%
NASDAQ
1D %
YTD %
22,682.73
0.3%
2.4%
US 10Y
1D
YTD
4.08
1 bp
10 bps
DJIA
1D %
YTD %
49,395.16
0.5%
2.1%
CA 10Y
1D
YTD
3.23
0 bps
20 bps
CAD/USD
1D %
YTD %
0.731
0.0%
0.2%

WHAT'S ON TAP

HOT OFF THE PRESS

New home prices drop

New home prices fell more than expected in January, shedding 0.4% versus estimates for a 0.1% gain…

… and building on last month’s 0.2% decline, driven by growing price pressure in Ontario, the Prairies, and BC alongside cooling momentum in Quebec.

With unsold inventory building up, a sustained reversal higher isn’t likely in the near-term.

Trade deficit narrows

December’s $1.3B trade deficit was lighter than expected, improving over last month

on the back of a 3% gain in exports, led by an 18% increase in metal products and a 26% rise in aircraft deliveries…

business jets specifically, which drove a record print and make the timing of Trump’s 50% tariff threat (resolving)… interesting.

Imports increased to a lesser degree (1%), with a 12% bump in vehicle shipments

… carrying results, driven by non-U.S. activity (Mexico & the Netherlands).

ON OUR RADAR

Flagging the third Conservative MP floor crossing, which pushes Carney closer to a majority that would remove friction from the implementation of initiatives like Build Canada Homes, the Alto HSR project, and a new Defence Industrial Strategy.

While his Davos speech sparked speculation that an election could be called, there may be no need - with a by-election in Terrebonne this year…

… that could seal the deal and break the minority government logjam.

GAINERS & LOSERS

Chorus (CHR)
1D %
YTD %
23.66
7.5%
10.3%
Intermap (IMP)
1D %
YTD %
1.74
6.0%
6.0%
Firan (FTG)
1D %
YTD %
17.66
6.7%
52.9%
Stingray (RAY)
1D %
YTD %
15.81
5.6%
9.5%
Sprott (SII)
1D %
YTD %
179.47
5.7%
33.5%
Propel (PRL)
1D %
YTD %
22.11
3.9%
11.4%

Firan Technology (FTG) added another 7% on its Q4 print, which beat on the top line and missed on EPS. The trajectory remains up and to the right, with management highlighting strong demand…

… across its business jet, aerospace, and defence markets - driving steady margin expansion and backlog growth.

There’s no question about the attractiveness of FTG’s fundamental setup, but with the stock trading above 12x NTM EBITDA (double the long-term average)…

the next leg higher should be a slow grind relative to the three-year, >500% run in the stock.

INSIDER TRANSACTIONS

Insider Company Value
Trevor Ebl TC Energy (TRP) $343K
Eric Jobin iA Financial (IAG) $152K
Denis Ricard iA Financial (IAG) $912K

EARNINGS

YESTERDAY’S EARNINGS
Company Actual Consensus
🇨🇦 Canadian Tire (CTC) 4.47 3.80
🇨🇦 MTY Food (MTY) 1.88 0.83
🇨🇦 Altus Group (AIF) 0.67 0.58
🇨🇦 Cenovus (CVE) 0.49 0.38
🇨🇦 Teck Resources (TECK) 1.37 0.96
🇨🇦 Sprott (SII) 1.40 0.99
🇨🇦 Superior (SPB) 0.27 0.25
🇨🇦 Lundin (LUN) 0.42 0.30
🇨🇦 Eldorado (ELD) 0.63 0.60
TODAY’S EARNINGS
Company Time Consensus
🇨🇦 Hudbay (HBM) AM 0.39
🇨🇦 Onex (ONEX) AM -
🇨🇦 Secure Waste (SES) AM 0.24

ECONOMIC DATA

YESTERDAY’S ECONOMIC RELEASES
Release Actual Consensus
🇨🇦 Trade Balance -1.3B -2.1B
🇨🇦 New Home Price M/M 0.4% 0.1%
🇺🇸 Trade Balance -70B -56B
TODAY’S ECONOMIC RELEASES
Release Time Consensus
🇨🇦 Retail Sales M/M 8:30AM -0.5%
🇨🇦 PPI M/M 8:30AM 0.2%
🇨🇦 Raw Materials M/M 8:30AM 0.7%

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About Bullpen: Bullpen Finance Inc. publishes content on Canadian markets and provides paid research coverage of select Canadian issuers. Bullpen is paid in cash by covered issuers, does not accept stock or options, does not hold positions in covered securities, and does not conduct investment banking business. Bullpen and LodeRock Advisors Inc. are affiliated; LodeRock provides investor relations services to issuers, some of whom are covered by Bullpen Research. When a post discusses a covered issuer, a specific disclosure appears at the top of the post. This post is published for general information purposes. It is not personalized investment advice and is not tailored to any individual reader’s circumstances. Bullpen is not a registered investment adviser or dealer. For full disclosures, including analyst certification, jurisdictional statements, and conflict of interest policies, please see our Legal & Disclosures section on our website.

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