Earlier we highlighted buyback activity among the Canadian names had been ramping up, reaching levels not seen since slack came back into the market post-COVID.

This time around the main driver has been the financials sector, in comparison to heightened activity from resources names (energy & mining) in the previous cycle.

Within the financials sector, the big banks have been driving the bus…

… but even the life insurance names have been mopping up shares recently.

For the banks, the decision is partly due to a deceleration in low growth…

… as tariffs have slowed down risk appetite from the private sector…

You’ve seen some more muted loan growth as we go through trade policy uncertainty, which I think once gets settled, you’ll see that pick up.

Victor Dodig (CEO) - CM Q2’25 earnings call

… and the other main driver has been their capital positions, which sit well above regulatory minimums

… something both the banks and life insurers have in common.

Regardless though, a ramp up in buybacks comes at the expense of other uses of capital - meaning the group isn’t seeing market returns high enough to forgo repurchases.

For the banks trading relatively cheap versus their long-term average book value multiples, this might not be such a bad thing. For the lifecos… let’s see.

About Bullpen: Bullpen Finance Inc. publishes content on Canadian markets and provides paid research coverage of select Canadian issuers. Bullpen is paid in cash by covered issuers, does not accept stock or options, does not hold positions in covered securities, and does not conduct investment banking business. Bullpen and LodeRock Advisors Inc. are affiliated; LodeRock provides investor relations services to issuers, some of whom are covered by Bullpen Research. When a post discusses a covered issuer, a specific disclosure appears at the top of the post. This post is published for general information purposes. It is not personalized investment advice and is not tailored to any individual reader’s circumstances. Bullpen is not a registered investment adviser or dealer. For full disclosures, including analyst certification, jurisdictional statements, and conflict of interest policies, please see our Legal & Disclosures section on our website.

You might be interested in…