TSX
1D %
YTD %
29,407.89
0.8%
18.1%
TSXV
1D %
YTD %
875.77
1.0%
41.9%
S&P 500
1D %
YTD %
6,587.47
0.9%
12.3%
NASDAQ
1D %
YTD %
22,043.07
0.7%
14.3%
US 10Y
1D
YTD
4.03
2 bps
54 bps
DJIA
1D %
YTD %
46,108.00
1.4%
8.8%
CA 10Y
1D
YTD
3.17
1 bp
6 bps
CAD/USD
1D %
YTD %
0.723
0.2%
3.9%

WHAT'S ON TAP

  • Carney’s fast-tracked project winners

  • National net worth inches higher

  • Barrick lobs Hemlo to Wheaton

  • D2L runs 13% on Q2 beat

  • Dynamite blows past estimates

HOT OFF THE PRESS

Construction names run on fast-tracking

Construction companies rallied on the back of Carney’s latest nation building announcement: the first five projects to be reviewed for fast-tracking.

Included in the list are expansions at the Darlington Nuclear Station and Port of Montreal, two projects where Bird, Aecon, and AtkinsRealis are heavily involved.

The latter two have their hands all over the Darlington Nuclear expansion, with Aecon and AtkinsRealis running point on all construction and engineering services, respectively. Bird’s role as an infrastructure provider is smaller, but still material…

… and it will likely play a similar role at the Port of Montreal, thanks to its recent $80M acquisition of FRPD - Canada’s largest marine infra and dredging company. Aecon’s 40% stake in the construction partnership should also result in a windfall.

The stage is set for a Canadian rebuild, with generational tailwinds in nuclear and infrastructure. But as I’ve highlighted recently with both Bird and Aecon, valuations haven’t caught up.

National net worth inches higher

Over the last two days we got a bunch of data on Canada’s financial position, which showed the first rise in the household debt service ratio in six quarters…

despite the second sequential drop in household credit demand - as mortgage activity slows.

Corporate credit demand remains healthy though, rising for the second straight quarter on increased bond issuance and expanding credit facilities…

… which have been a key funding source for continued expansion south of the border.

It’s this expansion that pushed the national net worth higher in Q2, offsetting a $26B decline in national wealth (non-financial asset value).

FUNNY BUSINESS

Barrick (ABX) announced the sale of its Hemlo gold mine in Ontario for $1.1B, the company’s last Canadian asset - but one that was immaterial to its total production.

Wheaton (WPM) got in on the deal financing, committing up to $400M through an attractive streaming agreement and participating in the equity component to the tune of at least $50M.

Barrick gets to focus on its core operations, Wheaton gets an attractive gold stream, and the Hemlo mine stays in Canadian hands - everybody wins.

ON OUR RADAR

Want to highlight the Australian government’s signing of a $1.1B deal with Anduril for its “Ghost Shark” autonomous undersea vehicles (unreal name). Kraken Robotics (PNG) supplies the batteries for these units, and is up >20% on the news.

GAINERS & LOSERS

GURU (GURU)
1D %
YTD %
3.68
26.9%
168.6%
Transat (TRZ)
1D %
YTD %
2.87
10.9%
47.2%
D2L (DTOL)
1D %
YTD %
18.65
13.0%
3.8%
ADF Group (DRX)
1D %
YTD %
8.52
10.5%
12.5%
Dynamite (GRGD)
1D %
YTD %
52.02
9.3%
167.5%
Hammond (HPS-A)
1D %
YTD %
112.58
4.7%
12.1%

D2L Inc. (DTOL) jumped 13% on its Q2, which beat on better subscription revenue and margins - prompting a small guidance bump in the subscription segment.

Supporting the new full-year target is continued international expansion, which management reiterated as a key growth lever into the future.

… we certainly continue to be very confident in that business driver growing very well and continue to view it in that 15-plus range.

John Baker (CEO) - DTOL Q2’26 call

Groupe Dynamite (GRGD) is up 27% since crushing Q2 results, with accelerating same-store sales growth and ecommerce revenue…

… helping to offset some tariff-related headwinds - driving higher margins and an increased guide for 2025…

… with management calling for 18% same-store growth (was 8%) and 33% EBITDA margins (was 31%) at the midpoint. Analyst estimates tracked higher in response, adding 10% and compressing what is quickly becoming a pretty rich valuation.

INSIDER TRANSACTIONS

Insider Company Value
Sandip Rana Franco-Nevada (FNV) $1.6M
Barton Demosky Bombardier (BBD) $755K
Eve Laurier Bombardier (BBD) $638K
Mike Cuddy Toromont (TIH) $1.1M
David Malinauskas Toromont (TIH) $877K
Kristopher Smith Suncor (SU) $23.0M
David Oldreive Suncor (SU) $261K
Sebastian Rubio CCL Ind. (CCL) $721K
Darryl White BMO (BMO) $4.7M
Mark Zurel Major Drilling (MDI) $392K
Terry Anderson ARC Resources (ARX) $119K
Harold Kvisle ARC Resources (ARX) $120K
Kristen Bibby ARC Resources (ARX) $241K
David Schummer Equinox (EQX) $100K
Ohad Epschtein Anaergia (ANRG) $364K

EARNINGS

YESTERDAY’S EARNINGS
Company Actual Consensus
🇨🇦 Empire (EMP-A) 0.91 0.88
🇨🇦 ADF Group (DRX) 3.7M 10.0M
🇨🇦 Blackline (BLN) -0.02 -0.01
🇨🇦 Transat (TRZ) -0.12 -0.17
🇺🇸 Adobe (ADBE) 5.31 5.18
🇺🇸 Kroger (KR) 1.04 1.00

ECONOMIC DATA

YESTERDAY’S ECONOMIC RELEASES
Release Actual Consensus
🇺🇸 Inflation Y/Y 2.9% 2.9%
🇺🇸 Core Inflation Y/Y 3.1% 3.1%
🇺🇸 Jobless Claims 263K 235K
TODAY’S ECONOMIC RELEASES
Release Time Consensus
🇨🇦 Building Permits M/M 8:30AM 4.0%
🇨🇦 Capacity Utilization 8:30AM 78.8%
🇺🇸 Cons. Sentiment Prel. 10:00AM 58

COMMODITIES

WTI Crude
1D %
YTD %
62.27
2.2%
13.3%
Gold
1D %
YTD %
3,637.05
0.1%
38.6%
Nat Gas
1D %
YTD %
2.92
3.8%
19.0%
Silver
1D %
YTD %
41.61
1.1%
44.1%
Lumber
1D %
YTD %
521.08
1.7%
5.4%
Copper
1D %
YTD %
4.61
1.5%
15.9%
Soybean
1D %
YTD %
1,015.10
1.0%
1.6%
Aluminum
1D %
YTD %
2,678.85
1.9%
4.8%
Corn
1D %
YTD %
398.41
0.3%
13.0%
Wheat
1D %
YTD %
500.43
1.1%
9.3%

Was this forwarded to you? Join hundreds of finance professionals reading The Morning Meeting by clicking the button below.

Disclaimer: Bullpen Finance Inc. is not a registered investment advisor. The information provided is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. See our terms of service for more information.