TSX
1D %
YTD %
29,283.82
0.4%
17.6%
TSXV
1D %
YTD %
879.67
0.5%
42.5%
S&P 500
1D %
YTD %
6,584.29
0.0%
12.2%
NASDAQ
1D %
YTD %
22,141.10
0.4%
14.8%
US 10Y
1D
YTD
4.07
4 bps
50 bps
DJIA
1D %
YTD %
45,834.22
0.6%
8.1%
CA 10Y
1D
YTD
3.19
2 bps
4 bps
CAD/USD
1D %
YTD %
0.723
0.1%
3.8%

WHAT'S ON TAP

  • Build Canada Homes gets $13B

  • Permits miss, residential recovers

  • Capacity utilization slows in Q2

  • GURU jumps 50% on earnings

HOT OFF THE PRESS

Build Canada Homes gets $13B

Yesterday Mark Carney announced the launch of Build Canada Homes (BCH), seeding the entity with $13B to kickstart the march towards 500K starts per year.

We’ve broken down BCH in the past, so in the spirit of keeping this tight - let’s focus on what’s new. The government’s land portfolio which includes 88 federal properties will be moved under the BCH umbrella…

providing plenty of off-market runway beyond the initial six-site, 4,000 home commitment. So could a $1.5B fund within BCH aiming to preserve affordability by acquiring “at-risk” properties (old units that could be upgraded and repriced).

While it isn’t marketed this way… I imagine the fund could be a good asset recycling vehicle for REITs looking to free up capital for development initiatives. Let’s see.

Building permits miss, residential recovers

Building permits for July inched down to $11.9B, losing 0.1% M/M and coming in well short of expectations for a 4% gain

on the back of softer non-residential activity - with industrial permitting falling $250M and institutional permitting losing $200M due to the non-repeat of a hospital project in Alberta last month.

Residential activity was a bright spot in the print, gaining $270M led by both single and multi-unit construction intentions in Ontario - the first positive M/M reading this year.

Capacity utilization slows in Q2

Q2 capacity utilization came in at 79.3%, beating estimates of 78.8% but down from 79.9% in Q1 - as production efficiency fell in power generation (weaker hydro production), resource extraction (forest fires)…

… and manufacturing - which continues to lag the headline utilization number by an increasing margin.

In Q2, non-durable goods were the driver - with petroleum product, textile, and food manufacturing weighing on results…

… while manufacturing efficiency in durable goods was mixed.

FUNNY BUSINESS

The Ontario Securities Commision is going after Purpose Investments for greenwashingguess they’ll have to go after the entire street… and all of tech.

ON OUR RADAR

GAINERS & LOSERS

GURU (GURU)
1D %
YTD %
4.46
21.2%
225.6%
Tudor (TUD)
1D %
YTD %
0.89
7.3%
29.0%
Bravo (BRVO)
1D %
YTD %
3.54
10.3%
98.9%
Curaleaf (CURA)
1D %
YTD %
3.33
5.4%
48.7%
Happy Belly (HBFG)
1D %
YTD %
1.30
8.8%
6.6%
Propel (PRL)
1D %
YTD %
31.80
5.1%
13.6%

GURU Organic Energy (GURU) ran >50% in the past two days after turning a profit in Q3 - its first since going public in 2020. The organic energy drink maker is growing fast…

… thanks to its expanding distribution network, which it regained control of earlier this year after the company’s exclusive partnership with PepsiCo ran its course.

We’ve built a robust network of over 25 distributors and brokers to reach retailers across the country… We are very confident in the long-term value this transition in sales and distribution will unlock for GURU.

Carl Goyette (CEO) - GURU Q2’25 call

With no debt and a string of successful product launches recently, investors are likely hoping for a sustained re-rate closer to large energy drink peers.

INSIDER TRANSACTIONS

Insider Company Value
Joseph Lasardi Curaleaf (CURA) $546K
Tavis Carlson Peyto (PEY) $323K
Matthew Andrews Pan American (PAAS) $451K
Gonzalo Mercado First Majestic (FR) $1.9M
Ashley Baker Aris (ARIS) $902K
Andrew Thorne Cameco (CCO) $1.4M
Mathieu Peloquin Stingray (RAY) $202K
J.P. Trahan Stingray (RAY) $232K
Richard Fortin Couche-Tard (ATD) $15.6M
Erin Wallace FirstService (FSV) $1.2M
Archibald Collins Emera (EMA) $2.0M
Judy Steele Emera (EMA) $1.2M
Alan Tanenbaum BMO (BMO) $1.7M
Adam Albeldawi Suncor (SU) $877K
Shelley Powell Suncor (SU) $1.7M
Ryan Berrett ARC Resources (ARX) $119K
Kristen Bibby ARC Resources (ARX) $245K
Terry Anderson ARC Resources (ARX) $121K
Gina Cody CAPREIT (CAR-U) $1.0M
Rene Tremblay CAPREIT (CAR-U) $992K

ECONOMIC DATA

FRIDAY’S ECONOMIC RELEASES
Release Actual Consensus
🇨🇦 Building Permits M/M -0.1% 4.0%
🇨🇦 Capacity Utilization 79.3% 78.8%
🇺🇸 Consumer Sentiment Prel. 55 58
TODAY’S ECONOMIC RELEASES
Release Time Consensus
🇨🇦 Mftg. Sales M/M 8:30AM 1.8%
🇨🇦 Wholesale Sales M/M 8:30AM 1.3%
🇨🇦 New Vehicle Sales 8:30AM -
🇺🇸 Ny Mftg. Index 8:30AM 3

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