TSX
1D %
YTD %
34,927.38
0.2%
9.6%
TSXV
1D %
YTD %
922.66
2.7%
7.1%
S&P 500
1D %
YTD %
7,365.46
1.4%
7.4%
NASDAQ
1D %
YTD %
25,587.04
2.2%
10.1%
US 10Y
1D
YTD
4.50
2 bps
32 bps
DJIA
1D %
YTD %
51,666.84
0.1%
6.8%
CA 10Y
1D
YTD
3.44
1 bp
1 bp
CAD/USD
1D %
YTD %
0.704
0.4%
3.4%

WHAT'S ON TAP

HOT OFF THE PRESS

Inflation breaks 3% on food and gas

Headline inflation of 3.2% came in above expectations, continuing to expand versus last month…

on the back of acceleration in food and transportation inflation, which offset deceleration in shelter.

In transportation, gas prices are the main driver - which could see some relief in the coming prints

while food inflation is proving sticky, climbing to 4.3% on Y/Y jumps of 5% and 9% in the price of fresh fruit and vegetables.

Together, upward pressure in those two categories is masking the steady grind lower in shelter inflation - driven by mortgage interest costs and rent expense.

While small, one other category worth flagging is computer equipment - which flipped positive for the first time since 2020…

Nuclear gets next round of government support

We got a couple more government pushes on nuclear, with Canada’s new strategy aiming to bring AtkinsRealis-serviced CANDU reactors to at least four new international markets by 2040…

… and the US DoE committing $17.5B of credit towards the purchase of equipment needed to reach construction on 10 Westinghouse AP1000 reactors by 2030 (owned by Cameco and Brookfield).

As we’ve said previously, aging nuclear fleets in developed economies are driving demand for refurbishment and new builds…

so the origin of the underlying technology matters now more than ever, given the geopolitical backdrop.

That means public sector capital will continue to flow to the private sector, which investors have been banking on over the past few years.

ON OUR RADAR

GAINERS & LOSERS

Couche-Tard (ATD)
1D %
YTD %
91.87
11.7%
22.6%
G Mining (GMIN)
1D %
YTD %
38.23
9.6%
7.9%
Open Text (OTEX)
1D %
YTD %
30.07
6.1%
32.7%
Hudbay (HBM)
1D %
YTD %
36.04
8.8%
32.3%
Thomson (TRI)
1D %
YTD %
114.84
5.8%
37.6%
5N Plus (VNP)
1D %
YTD %
38.59
7.1%
117.8%

Couche-Tard (ATD) ran over 10% on its Q4 results, which beat on revenue thanks to continued acceleration in US same-store merchandise growth

and crushed EPS estimates thanks to margin expansion in fuel, stemming from prior investments that enable the company to capitalize on energy market volatility.

Management expects those drivers to repeat in Q1, giving them confidence in the full-year >10% EPS growth guide and making ATD’s current valuation look interesting.

EARNINGS

TODAY’S EARNINGS
Company Time Consensus
🇨🇦 NovaGold (NG) AM -0.07
🇨🇦 AGF Mgmt (AGF) AM 0.54
🇨🇦 Evertz (ET) AM 0.18

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About Bullpen: Bullpen Finance Inc. publishes content on Canadian markets and provides paid research coverage of select Canadian issuers. Bullpen is paid in cash by covered issuers, does not accept stock or options, does not hold positions in covered securities, and does not conduct investment banking business. Bullpen and LodeRock Advisors Inc. are affiliated; LodeRock provides investor relations services to issuers, some of whom are covered by Bullpen Research. When a post discusses a covered issuer, a specific disclosure appears at the top of the post. This post is published for general information purposes. It is not personalized investment advice and is not tailored to any individual reader’s circumstances. Bullpen is not a registered investment adviser or dealer. For full disclosures, including analyst certification, jurisdictional statements, and conflict of interest policies, please see our Legal & Disclosures section on our website.

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