Docebo (DCBO) ran 10% Friday after pre-releasing its Q2, which looks to be largely in line with estimates on ~11% growth in subscription revenue

… so the outperformance is likely driven by the $70M substantial issuer bid paired with results, as management looks to swallow another 14% of shares outstanding at 2x NTM EV/sales.

It’s not the first SIB by the company, with a $100M program in 2023 and a $60M bid earlier this year…

… but the execution is changing, with the credit facility being used as the primary funding mechanism this time - given Docebo paid cash for its recent $54M tuck in.

While that likely puts a ceiling on DCBO’s future activity, the cash flowing cohort of small cap software is ramping up their buyback programs

… in an effort to set a valuation floor and avoid takeout bids from private capital.

About Bullpen: Bullpen Finance Inc. publishes content on Canadian markets and provides paid research coverage of select Canadian issuers. Bullpen is paid in cash by covered issuers, does not accept stock or options, does not hold positions in covered securities, and does not conduct investment banking business. Bullpen and LodeRock Advisors Inc. are affiliated; LodeRock provides investor relations services to issuers, some of whom are covered by Bullpen Research. When a post discusses a covered issuer, a specific disclosure appears at the top of the post. This post is published for general information purposes. It is not personalized investment advice and is not tailored to any individual reader’s circumstances. Bullpen is not a registered investment adviser or dealer. For full disclosures, including analyst certification, jurisdictional statements, and conflict of interest policies, please see our Legal & Disclosures section on our website.

You might be interested in…