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WHAT'S ON TAP
Building permits jump $2B
Capacity utilization improves in Q3
Bombardier inks $400M deal
CAE runs 5% on $270M contract
HOT OFF THE PRESS
Building permits add $2B
Building permits rose 15% to $13.8B in October, well ahead of expectations for a 1% decline…

… driven by a $1.1B rise in residential construction intentions. A multi-family rebound in Ontario led the way, which has been a source of weakness for the majority of the year.

Non-residential permitting was strong too, with higher office permitting in Ontario and institutional activity in BC driving a $700M pickup versus September.

Q3 capacity utilization improves
Q3 capacity utilization came in at 78.5%, missing estimates of 79.3% but up from 77.6% in Q2 - with broad-based improvements in production efficiency. The gain in construction was notable, given it was the first in nine quarters…

… and manufacturing rebounded 1.2% after a weaker Q2, as it continues to close the gap to industrial capacity utilization.

Non-durable goods were the primary driver, thanks to an 11 point increase in petroleum and coal products Q/Q…

… while manufacturing efficiency in durable goods was mixed, with strength in transportation and furniture offsetting weakness in electrical equipment.

ON OUR RADAR
Flagging Bombardier’s $400M contract with the RCAF for six Global 6500 aircraft, keeping up the momentum from its $2B, 50 aircraft order in the summer. The deal should support continued backlog growth…

… which the company will need to execute on in order to grow into what looks to be a pretty rich valuation.

GAINERS & LOSERS
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CAE Inc. (CAE) ran 5% Friday following its announced 10-year, $270M contract for Australia’s future air training system. Assuming an even yearly run-rate, the deal only adds 1-2% to defense revenue…

… but more importantly, it reinforces the multi-year setup for defense spending globally and builds on earlier large contract success in Canada. With the backlog sitting at $11B…

… and the new CEO likely to drive U.S. growth, CAE’s revenue runway is long - justifying a premium over its long-term average valuation.

INSIDER TRANSACTIONS
| Insider | Company | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Ian Arellano | Scotiabank (BNS) | $5.3M |
| Sime Armoyan | Morguard (MRT) | $172K |
| Jerrold Annett | Pecoy (PCU) | $279K |
EARNINGS
TODAY’S EARNINGS
| Company | Time | Consensus |
|---|---|---|
| 🇨🇦 Enghouse (ENGH) | AM | 0.37 |
ECONOMIC DATA
YESTERDAY’S ECONOMIC RELEASES
| Release | Actual | Consensus |
|---|---|---|
| 🇨🇦 Building Permits M/M | 14.9% | -1.4% |
| 🇨🇦 Wholesale Sales M/M | 0.1% | -0.1% |
| 🇨🇦 Capacity Utilization | 78.5% | 79.3% |
TODAY’S ECONOMIC RELEASES
| Release | Time | Consensus |
|---|---|---|
| 🇨🇦 Housing Starts | 9:15AM | 248K |
| 🇨🇦 Inflation Y/Y | 9:30AM | 2.4% |
| 🇨🇦 Manufacturing Sales M/M | 9:30AM | -0.9% |
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