TSX
1D %
YTD %
31,527.39
0.4%
26.6%
TSXV
1D %
YTD %
954.61
0.3%
54.6%
S&P 500
1D %
YTD %
6,827.41
1.1%
16.3%
NASDAQ
1D %
YTD %
23,195.17
1.7%
20.3%
US 10Y
1D
YTD
4.18
2 bps
39 bps
DJIA
1D %
YTD %
48,458.05
0.5%
14.3%
CA 10Y
1D
YTD
3.44
2 bps
22 bps
CAD/USD
1D %
YTD %
0.726
0.0%
4.4%

WHAT'S ON TAP

  • Building permits jump $2B

  • Capacity utilization improves in Q3

  • Bombardier inks $400M deal

  • CAE runs 5% on $270M contract

HOT OFF THE PRESS

Building permits add $2B

Building permits rose 15% to $13.8B in October, well ahead of expectations for a 1% decline

driven by a $1.1B rise in residential construction intentions. A multi-family rebound in Ontario led the way, which has been a source of weakness for the majority of the year.

Non-residential permitting was strong too, with higher office permitting in Ontario and institutional activity in BC driving a $700M pickup versus September.

Q3 capacity utilization improves

Q3 capacity utilization came in at 78.5%, missing estimates of 79.3% but up from 77.6% in Q2 - with broad-based improvements in production efficiency. The gain in construction was notable, given it was the first in nine quarters

… and manufacturing rebounded 1.2% after a weaker Q2, as it continues to close the gap to industrial capacity utilization.

Non-durable goods were the primary driver, thanks to an 11 point increase in petroleum and coal products Q/Q…

while manufacturing efficiency in durable goods was mixed, with strength in transportation and furniture offsetting weakness in electrical equipment.

ON OUR RADAR

Flagging Bombardier’s $400M contract with the RCAF for six Global 6500 aircraft, keeping up the momentum from its $2B, 50 aircraft order in the summer. The deal should support continued backlog growth…

… which the company will need to execute on in order to grow into what looks to be a pretty rich valuation.

GAINERS & LOSERS

Anaergia (ANRG)
1D %
YTD %
2.72
5.8%
189.4%
D2L Inc. (DTOL)
1D %
YTD %
13.91
6.9%
28.3%
CAE Inc. (CAE)
1D %
YTD %
41.06
5.4%
12.5%
Athabasca (ATH)
1D %
YTD %
7.11
4.6%
33.4%
Magellan (MAL)
1D %
YTD %
17.90
4.1%
77.8%
Cameco (CCO)
1D %
YTD %
125.97
4.4%
70.4%

CAE Inc. (CAE) ran 5% Friday following its announced 10-year, $270M contract for Australia’s future air training system. Assuming an even yearly run-rate, the deal only adds 1-2% to defense revenue…

… but more importantly, it reinforces the multi-year setup for defense spending globally and builds on earlier large contract success in Canada. With the backlog sitting at $11B…

… and the new CEO likely to drive U.S. growth, CAE’s revenue runway is long - justifying a premium over its long-term average valuation.

INSIDER TRANSACTIONS

Insider Company Value
Ian Arellano Scotiabank (BNS) $5.3M
Sime Armoyan Morguard (MRT) $172K
Jerrold Annett Pecoy (PCU) $279K

EARNINGS

TODAY’S EARNINGS
Company Time Consensus
🇨🇦 Enghouse (ENGH) AM 0.37

ECONOMIC DATA

YESTERDAY’S ECONOMIC RELEASES
Release Actual Consensus
🇨🇦 Building Permits M/M 14.9% -1.4%
🇨🇦 Wholesale Sales M/M 0.1% -0.1%
🇨🇦 Capacity Utilization 78.5% 79.3%
TODAY’S ECONOMIC RELEASES
Release Time Consensus
🇨🇦 Housing Starts 9:15AM 248K
🇨🇦 Inflation Y/Y 9:30AM 2.4%
🇨🇦 Manufacturing Sales M/M 9:30AM -0.9%

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