Population growth moderates as immigration slowdown continues

Eli Rodney
June 19, 2025
GDP

Population growth stagnated in Q2, with just 20K added at the country level and a Q/Q decline in Quebec, Ontario, and British Columbia.

The regional declines were driven mainly by in-country dynamics, with continued interprovincial migration towards Alberta…

… while the headline number was largely due to an immigration slowdown, as the government aims to reduce permanent admissions to under 400K this year.

Non-permanent residents declined ~60K Q/Q, in-line with the government’s goal to reduce this category to 5% of the total population by 2027. At ~7% currently (~1M above target)…

… this segment should weigh on near-term population growth - benefitting per capita GDP at the expense of absolute growth and posing challenges for grocers (necessity-based same-store growth) and REITs (apartment demand) if it continues.

Get smarter on Canadian markets

Get our insight-packed coverage of Canadian markets delivered to your inbox 3x per week in 5 minutes or less.

Disclaimer: Bullpen Finance Inc. is not a registered investment advisor. The information provided is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. See our terms of service for more information.

Get smarter on Canadian markets

Get The Morning Meeting, our insight-packed Canadian markets newsletter delivered to your inbox 3x per week.

Read by 500+ professionals from:

Bank of Montreal
Toronto Dominion Bank
Bank of Nova Scotia
Royal Bank of Canada
National Bank of Canada
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce